1st May, 2021
After the possibility of the second wave of Corona reaching the peak by mid-May, the government is now beginning to worry about its third wave. The big question is whether the third wave will be more dangerous than the second and how ready the country will be to deal with it. At the same time, the possibility of stopping the effects of the third wave by applying the vaccine to a large population has also started discussing.
Scientists of the world are looking for ways to stop the third wave: CSIR
Dr. Shekhar Mande, Director General of CSIR, justifies the possibility of Corona's third wave saying that scientists from all over the world are worried about it and are trying to find ways to stop it. By the way, Dr. Mande also believes that the third wave of Corona can be prevented from being as dangerous as the third wave of Spanish flu. The vaccine is an effective weapon against Corona and is with us.
Dr. Mande said - all the vaccines will be able to meet the needs of the whole world together
Despite the current limitations of vaccine production and the large population, Dr. Mande is confident of providing the vaccine as soon as possible to the large population of not only India, but the entire world. According to him, many vaccines have come in the world. Efforts to speed up their production have begun. Along with this, many more vaccines are also in the final stages. All these vaccines will be able to meet the needs of the whole world.
Both doses of vaccine to 15-20 percent of the population by October, one dose to 63 percent
SBI's latest EcoRap report is also Dr. Shekhar supports Mande's claim. In this report, based on the experiences of vaccination in different countries of the world, it has been claimed that 15-20 percent of the population in any country stabilizes the infection after both doses. Based on the current state of vaccine production in India and future preparations, SBI claims to have around 105 crore doses available in the country by October. With such a dose, 15 percent of the population of India would have received both the dose and 63 percent the first dose. That means about 70 percent of the population would have been safe.
Experts said- 30 percent of the population will have to ensure both doses in two to three months
Many other experts believe that within two-three months, at least 30 per cent of the population will have to ensure both doses. According to Dr. NK Arora, a member of the National Expert Group on Vaccine Administration for Covid-19 (Negvac), the first wave of Corona peaked in September. Then for four months, the cases gradually declined. The start of the second wave is expected to start in February and reach the peak in May.
Four months after the peak in May, the third wave will begin by October or November.
After the peak in May, the corona outbreak will continue to subside for the next four months and only then will the third wave begin. It will take two-three months for the third wave to peak. In this way, the third phase will begin by October or November.
Dr. Arora said - By October many more vaccines will come to India
According to Dr. Arora, by October, a large population of India would have been vaccinated. He added that in addition to increasing production of covacine and covicshield and the production of Sputnik-V in the country, vaccines based on Genova's RNA and Cadila's DNA would also have come on the market.
Both vaccines will prove to be real game-changers
Phase III clinical trials of both these vaccines are underway. They can be allowed for emergency use in June-July. According to Dr. Arora, both these vaccines will prove to be real game-changers as they can be produced on a large scale in a short time.