A US-based foreign policy expert has weighed in on the increasingly strained relationship between India and Canada, stating that it is becoming “reminiscent of India’s historically fraught relations with Pakistan.” The statement comes amidst a series of diplomatic clashes between the two countries, which have led to a significant cooling of relations, drawing global attention to the ongoing rift.

Deteriorating Diplomatic Ties

The foreign policy expert, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, highlighted that the recent exchanges between New Delhi and Ottawa are following a pattern eerily similar to the tensions that have long defined India-Pakistan relations. “The sharp decline in India-Canada diplomatic ties is starting to echo the strained nature of India’s relations with Pakistan,” said the expert. “The accusations, diplomatic expulsions, and increasingly hardline rhetoric are making this bilateral relationship more hostile by the day.”

The diplomatic rift has grown particularly tense in recent months, following allegations from Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau about India’s involvement in the assassination of Hardeep Singh Nijjar, a Canadian citizen and pro-Khalistani activist. India has vehemently denied these claims, calling them “absurd” and accusing Canada of harboring extremists that threaten its national security.

Historical Comparisons

Drawing a parallel with India’s long-standing issues with Pakistan, the expert noted that both relationships are now centered around issues of terrorism and national security. “Just like India has always viewed Pakistan through the lens of terrorism and cross-border extremism, it is now seeing Canada in a similar light. Canada’s perceived tolerance of Khalistani elements on its soil has become a major irritant for India, much like Pakistan’s alleged support for anti-India militants,” the expert explained.

This comparison has raised eyebrows in diplomatic circles, as Canada and India have historically shared cordial relations, especially in trade, education, and cultural exchanges. However, the rising friction over Khalistani separatism has severely impacted the relationship, with both countries now engaging in tit-for-tat diplomatic measures, including the expulsion of diplomats.

Global Repercussions

The deterioration of India-Canada relations has not only created concern among policymakers in both countries but has also caught the attention of global powers. The US, which maintains strategic partnerships with both India and Canada, has remained watchful of the developments. The foreign policy expert emphasized that Washington’s position on the issue could be critical in shaping the future of India-Canada ties.

“The US is keeping a close eye on how this situation unfolds, as it impacts not just bilateral relations but also broader geopolitical strategies. India is a key partner for the US in the Indo-Pacific region, while Canada is one of its closest allies in the Western Hemisphere. It will be interesting to see how the US navigates this complex situation,” the expert added.

Future of India-Canada Relations

While both countries have reiterated their desire for dialogue, the growing distrust between New Delhi and Ottawa makes the road to reconciliation difficult. “It’s possible that relations could improve if there is a willingness to address each other’s core concerns, but at this stage, the hostility is palpable,” the expert concluded.

With India’s upcoming national elections and Canada’s own internal political dynamics, the chances of a swift resolution appear slim, leaving many to wonder if the current trajectory of India-Canada relations could mirror the prolonged tensions India has faced with Pakistan.