Warner Bros. is about to reject Paramount's offer, which brings it closer to Netflix
Warner Bros. Discovery is reportedly very close to rejecting Paramount's offer, a decision that brings it closer to a strategic agreement with Netflix
The entertainment industry continues to teeter between deals where audience preference becomes the fundamental element. Warner Bros. Discovery seems to be getting closer to closing the door on Paramount Skydance and, at the same time, leaving it for Netflix. The decision, which has not yet been officially confirmed, could redefine the balance of power in Hollywood and accelerate one of the biggest transformations in the audiovisual sector in decades. According to a CNBC report, Warner Bros. Discovery is preparing to reject Paramount Skydance's aggressive, improved offer, valued at $108.4 billion. This would occur despite billionaire Larry Ellison offering a personal guarantee to back the proposal's financing. Neither Warner Bros. nor Paramount Skydance made public comments on the report. This rejection would keep Warner Bros. on track for an alternative deal with Netflix. Although the streaming giant's proposal is smaller in nominal terms, with an estimated value of $82.7 billion, market analysts believe it presents a clearer financial structure and fewer execution risks. Paramount attempted to reinforce its offensive by adjusting several key points. The company raised the regulatory buyout fee, extended the deadline for its public takeover bid, and reiterated that Ellison was willing to personally guarantee the equity financing. However, the $30 per share cash price remained unchanged, which would not have been enough to convince the Warner Bros. board. The Warner Bros. board had previously recommended that its shareholders reject Paramount's proposal. Among the arguments cited were doubts about the certainty of the financing and the lack of a full guarantee from the Ellison family. These concerns appear to remain, even after the announced modifications. In contrast,The agreement with Netflix includes more defined conditions. According to the known terms, Warner Bros. would have to pay a penalty of $2.8 billion if it decides to withdraw from the deal with the streaming platform. Although the value of the agreement depends in part on Netflix's stock price, its structure is seen as more predictable.Paramount argues that its offer would face fewer regulatory hurdles. The merger between Paramount and Warner Bros. would create a studio larger than Disney and unite two of the leading television operators in the market. However, this argument has not addressed political concerns. Lawmakers from both parties have expressed concern about greater concentration in the media industry. Even US President Donald Trump stated that he "plans to intervene" in what he called a historic acquisition, according to statements reported by US media. Paramount has also questioned the strength of Netflix's offer. The company claims its proposal is “more market-resilient” than that of its rival, whose value can fluctuate with stock market performance. Even so, Warner Bros.' board seems to prioritize the certainty of the deal over the size of the figure. For investors, creators, and audiences, every move counts and could translate into direct changes in catalogs, the availability of classic content, and investment in original productions. It could also impact subscription prices and how films and series are distributed in theaters, on television, and on digital platforms. The daily experience of millions of viewers will inevitably change as soon as Warner Bros. makes a decision: Paramount or Netflix. You may also be interested in:
Paramount has also questioned the strength of Netflix's offer. The company maintains that its proposal is "more market-resistant" than that of its rival, whose value can fluctuate with stock market performance. Even so, Warner Bros.' board seems to prioritize the certainty of the deal over the size of the figure.
For investors, creators, and audiences, every move counts and could translate into direct changes in catalogs, the availability of classic content, and investment in original productions. It could also impact subscription prices and how films and series are distributed in theaters, on television, and on digital platforms. The daily experience of millions of viewers will inevitably change as soon as Warner Bros. makes a decision: Paramount or Netflix.
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