The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) issued a troubling projection for the current federal administration, estimating that the government deficit and national debt will tend to increase by billions of dollars over the next decade if certain adjustments are not implemented.

Although, Upon returning to the White House, Donald Trump pledged to end the government's budget deficit by creating the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) and implementing spending cuts in various federal agencies. The CBO estimates that the country's budget deficit will be around $1.9 trillion during fiscal year 2026, an amount equivalent to 5.8% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It should be noted that, surprisingly, this will be virtually the same result for government finances recorded during fiscal year 2025. In other words, from the CBO's perspective, the federal administration's adjustments have not worked, even with the implementation of a severely criticized tariff policy. If this trend continues, the United States budget deficit is expected to reach more than $3 trillion by 2036, a figure equivalent to 6.7% of GDP.

Regarding the national debt, the CBO projects that it will increase from 99% at the end of 2025 to 120% over the next 10 years.

If this estimate materializes, by 2030 the national debt could surpass the historical high of 106% reached in 1946.

In this regard, Phillip Swagel, director of the CBO, acknowledged being concerned about the results produced by the economic policy driven from Washington.

“Our budget projections continue to indicate that the fiscal trajectory is not sustainable.

The fiscal provisions, including the permanent extension of the provisions of the 2017 Tax Act, increase the deficit,as well as the increase in spending on defense and national security,” it states in part of a press release. According to the analysis released by the CBO, the country's income will remain stable throughout the decade, and from there, GDP will increase by 17.8% in 2036.